Monday's game at Value City Arena has the Ohio State Buckeyes (26-7) going head-to-head against the North Carolina Tar Heels (22-10) at 4:00 PM (on March 20). Our computer prediction projects a 71-68 win for Ohio State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

The Tar Heels came out on top in their most recent game 61-59 against St. John's (NY) on Saturday.

North Carolina vs. Ohio State Game Info

  • When: Monday, March 20, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET
  • Where: Value City Arena in Columbus, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN

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North Carolina vs. Ohio State Score Prediction

  • Prediction: Ohio State 71, North Carolina 68

North Carolina Schedule Analysis

  • In their best win of the season, the Tar Heels took down the No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 60-50, on January 8.
  • The Tar Heels have seven Quadrant 1 wins, tied for the 19th-most in the country. But they also have 10 Quadrant 1 losses, tied for the 24th-most.
  • Against Quadrant 2 teams, North Carolina is 5-0 (1.000%) -- tied for the 38th-most victories.
  • Based on the RPI, the Buckeyes have five wins over Quadrant 3 opponents, tied for the 96th-most in the nation.

North Carolina 2022-23 Best Wins

  • 60-50 at home over Notre Dame (No. 10/AP Poll) on January 8
  • 45-41 on the road over Duke (No. 13/AP Poll) on February 26
  • 61-56 at home over Duke (No. 13/AP Poll) on January 19
  • 73-64 over Iowa State (No. 17/AP Poll) on November 27
  • 56-47 at home over NC State (No. 24) on January 15

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North Carolina Performance Insights

  • The Tar Heels have a +303 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.4 points per game. They're putting up 68.9 points per game, 104th in college basketball, and are allowing 59.5 per outing to rank 57th in college basketball.
  • In 2022-23, North Carolina has put up 64.5 points per game in ACC action, and 68.9 overall.
  • The Tar Heels are putting up more points at home (73.7 per game) than away (64.2).
  • In 2022-23 North Carolina is giving up 10.5 fewer points per game at home (54.1) than away (64.6).
  • The Tar Heels have performed worse offensively over their previous 10 games, averaging 60.5 points per contest, 8.4 fewer points their than season average of 68.9.