First Alert Forecast: humid and unsettled, NOAA hurricane season outlook released

Published: May. 24, 2022 at 4:40 AM EDT|Updated: May. 24, 2022 at 7:47 PM EDT
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WILMINGTON, N.C. (WECT) - Your First Alert Forecast continues with a warm, muggy Tuesday night across the Cape Fear Region. As a front presses in from the north, isolated showers and storms could develop from an otherwise variably cloudy sky through the early evening hours. As usual in convective situations, not all neighborhoods will receive beneficial rain.

Your First Alert Forecast offers modest shower and storm chances of 20% and 10% Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, before the aforementioned front makes a more authoritative pass through the Cape Fear Region later Friday. By then: rain odds will step up to a healthier 50%. Post-front: most of Memorial Day weekend looks to have low rain chances for now. Through the period: seasonable 80s are favored for daily high temperatures over more extreme 90s.

NOAA - the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association released its 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season outlook Tuesday. It features 14-21 named storms, with 6-10 expected to become hurricanes, and 3-6 to become major hurricanes (category 3 or higher). NOAA cites above-average ocean water temperatures and a third La Nina in as many years in the Pacific; La Nina correlates well with near or above-average tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic. Of course, we in the Cape Fear Region plan and prepare for every Hurricane Season just the same: “It only takes one storm here to make a bad year.”

Catch your seven-day planning forecast here:

Or, customize your location and extend your outlook to June with a ten-day forecast on your WECT Weather App.

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