The 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season will have near-average tropical storm and hurricane activity, according to renowned hurricane researchers Drs. Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of Colorado State University. 2013, 2014, and 2015 featured slightly below-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane activity.
In their annual long-range hurricane forecast (just released Thursday, April 14), Klotzbach and Gray expect 2016 will feature 12 total Atlantic tropical storms, including 5 hurricanes and 2 major (Cat. 3+) hurricanes. An average Atlantic Hurricane Season produces 12 total storms, including 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
Pockets of abnormally warm Atlantic Ocean water and a weakening El Nino phase in the Pacific Ocean are factors which may boost seasonal hurricane activity in the Atlantic in 2016... or at least preclude a below-average season.
Less is known about where any 2016 Atlantic hurricanes might ultimately trek, but Klotzbach and Gray to suggest a high likelihood of at least one U.S. storm landfall.
So far, 2016 saw the development of an extremely rare January hurricane, "Alex", which formed near the Azores Islands in the far eastern Atlantic. But the official Atlantic Hurricane Season runs through the summer and fall - from June 1 to November 30.
And remember: no matter what the long-range forecast for a given season might say, your First Alert Weather Team urges preparedness and vigilance in every storm season!
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