In advance of the official start of Atlantic hurricane season, June 1, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its 2014 seasonal forecast Wednesday.
NOAA expects a total of 6-11 named storms, including 3-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major (Cat. 3+) hurricanes. (Preseason Tropical Storm Ana, which impacted the Carolina Coast earlier in May, would be included in these totals.)
An average Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
Like other long-range forecast outlets, NOAA cites cooler-than-average water surface patterns in the Atlantic and the expected development of El Nino in the Pacific as reasons for its comparatively modest hurricane forecast for the Atlantic this year.
Of course, officials and meteorologists urge preparedness ahead of every hurricane season – regardless of the long-range forecast.
Be sure to stay weather aware by downloading the free WECT Weather App and setting up severe weather alerts.