Severe weather threat for Saturday - WECT, weather & sports Wilmington, NC

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Severe weather threat for Saturday


It will stay cloudy and dreary tonight, with patchy fog and isolated showers. Temperatures won't be all the different from what we felt today as we go into tonight.  Temps will hold in the 50s for the Upstate and upper 40s in the mountains.

A cold front pushes in for Saturday, and it will bring major changes... Storms and wind!  Storms will start developing toward midday as the front is pushing into the Carolinas. 

Our area won't have a lot of CAPE or storm energy for the line of storms to access for growth and intensification.  CAPE values are generally under 500, which isn't much but is enough for some rumbles of thunder and perhaps a severe storm if the right ingredients come together. 

There is some shear associated with this system, so that means a storm that forms could become organized quickly.  Based on what is in place, I think we have a slight chance of seeing a strong storm or 2 in the Upstate and northeast GA between noon and 4pm. 

However, just to our east and south (as indicated by the yellow on the attached image) there will be a higher severe threat.  There should be more storm energy to access there. 

So, remain on-guard through Saturday afternoon.  Damaging wind and small hail could develop, and an isolated tornado can't be ruled out. 

As the front passes through, the winds will be fierce!  Expect gusts to 30-40mph in the Upstate Saturday evening behind the front, and gusts to near 60 in the mountains.  Be careful if you plan to travel during this time. 

Snow showers will develop with the strong northwest wind in the mountains, but accumulations should be minor.

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