First Alert Forecast: Warm falls days, watching Karen - WECT, weather & sports Wilmington, NC

First Alert Forecast: Warm falls days, watching Karen

Another few days without the threat of rain, and above average temperatures.  However upper and mid-level moisture will be increasing as high pressure dome retreats to the east. Most models show the remnants of what is now tropical storm Karen merging with a front and bringing significant rainfall to most of the Carolinas late Sunday through early Tuesday. 

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FORECAST: Expect clear to partly cloudy skies and 10%-or-less rain chances. Nights will cool to the 60s with some 50s possibly mixing inland. Days will consistently warm to the middle and possibly upper 80s for inland areas and mainly lower 80s for the beaches.

FORECAST FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK: Clouds should increase Sunday but the forecast remains dry until very late in the day (great for Riverfest).  We'll introduce shower chances Sunday night as Karen or her remnants move towards the western Carolinas.  Rain is now likely for Monday and it could be heavy at times with copious amounts of tropical moisture available.  In addition Karen's possible track puts a severe weather threat in play, mainly in the form of a few very isolated small tornadoes.  Highs Sunday will be in the mid 80's with low 80's likely for Monday.  Karen's remnants will be absorbed by the next approaching cool front early Tuesday.  Drier and cooler weather moves in for Tuesday and Wednesday.   

TROPICAL OUTLOOK: Karen could become the third hurricane of the 2013 Atlantic season before a Mississippi or Louisiana landfall sometime on Saturday.  Meanwhile tropical depression Jerry is rapidly fading in the east -central Atlantic.  No other tropical cyclones should form over the next 72 hours. 

First Alert Meteorologists Gannon Medwick, Colin Hackman, Eric Davis, and Iisha Scott will keep you updated.

Know before you go: with our weather home page by clicking here.

Don't forget to download the free WECT First Alert Weather app to stay ahead of the storm.

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