Friday, December 6 2013 3:51 PM EST2013-12-06 20:51:27 GMT
(RNN) - A relatively quiet few days ahead have a pair of scheduling anomalies: Two games in conference play. Normally reserved for after the New Year, fans get their first chance to see ACC teams go headMore >>
Normally reserved for after the New Year, fans get their first chance to see ACC teams go head to head this week. More >>
Thursday, December 5 2013 5:27 PM EST2013-12-05 22:27:52 GMT
(RNN) - No one tells you the "challenge" in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge is the cramping your remote hand gets from flipping through two sets of three simultaneous games in back-to-back nights. Now, we'reMore >>
It's been an exciting, confusing couple of weeks in ACC basketball. Player Power Poll has got it covered with some simple truths to straighten things out.More >>
J.P. Tokoto had 12 points and a career-high 10 rebounds to help North Carolina beat No. 1 Michigan State 79-65 Wednesday night, giving the Tar Heels another impressive victory in their inconsistent season.More >>
North Carolina flashed its potential again, earning another impressive victory after a second shaky setback.More >>
A Federal Reserve survey shows the U.S. economy held steady during the 16-day partial government shutdown, growing moderately in most regions from October through late November.More >>
A Federal Reserve survey released Wednesday found that the U.S. economy held steady during the 16-day partial government shutdown, growing moderately in most regions from October through late November.More >>
Thursday, October 17 2013 4:40 PM EDT2013-10-17 20:40:19 GMT
(RNN) - By passing a last-minute deal on the debt ceiling, and a 16 days-late deal on the government shutdown, Congress finally got back to doing its job. So, what now? Some people may see it as the timeMore >>
With a budget passed only until January, a debt ceiling deal through February and a bunch of days off for Congress until then, the country may be back in the same situation soon.More >>
Thursday, October 17 2013 5:27 AM EDT2013-10-17 09:27:22 GMT
A last-minute deal has been struck, allowing the federal government to avoid a shutdown. A shutdown would have suspended all federal government services deemed non-essential. All federally-funded museums,More >>
Congress has passed a bill to fund the government and lift the debt ceiling, avoiding default. More >>
Sunday, October 13 2013 6:52 PM EDT2013-10-13 22:52:24 GMT
WASHINGTON, DC (RNN) - Despite the WWII Memorial being closed, members of the Million Vet March have gathered in Washington, DC to protest the government shutdown – according to media reports. "We do notMore >>
Veterans gathered at the World War II Memorial in Washington, DC to protest the government shutdown.More >>
Saturday, October 12 2013 10:44 PM EDT2013-10-13 02:44:59 GMT
People nationwide have been unable to access welfare benefits through their EBT cards Saturday. Reports on the matter indicated the issue has no connection to the government shutdown.More >>
Xerox, which handles EBT systems in several states, said Saturday night the problem that prevented people from using their cards to shop has now been corrected. More >>
(RNN) – Oklahoma State will clobber Oregon. North Carolina will ease past Villanova. North Carolina State will easily handle Temple, and in one of the best matchups of the tournament, Colorado State will defeat Missouri by 0.00016.
How am I able to so boldly predict the future? Arithmetic, that's how. Highly specialized, fourth-grade arithmetic.
Nate Silver, America's favorite statistician, who predicted the presidential election outcome on the nose, used all kinds of computers and high-function equations to fill out his NCAA tournament bracket.
I used the third edition of Basketball Math, Slam-Dunk Activities and Projects for Grades 4-8.
That thing on Amazon that recommends books you'd like based on your browsing history is amazing. It said I would like this $1.39 fourth-grade math workbook that tricks kids into doing their homework by making them do basketball statistics.
I love me some hoops. And unlike most journalists, I can find the calculator function on my iPhone.
No human ever punched the trademarked Buy-now-with-1-Click button more quickly. This is a great book, people.
It not only teaches the nuts-and-bolts stats like free throw percentage and points per game. It gets into the esoteric, high-minded stuff that compares teams and players by using the "points per play" method.
I had noticed that statistic cropping up more and more often in the nerdier niches of sports journalism. And I have since learned that gamblers have from time immemorial used variants of it in their never-ending quest to pick more than 50 percent of games correctly.
Like Sabermetrics in baseball it measures offensive efficiency. The concept is founded on the indisputable fact that the team that scores the most points wins. You will have far fewer scoring possessions than non-scoring possessions - but you can measure which teams are, on the whole, more productive than others.
The math is pretty simple, too. You could get a lot more complicated if you wanted to, but here's the short equation.
Basically, you divide total points by possessions. Possessions equals shots taken, turnovers and free throws divided by two. (This is not a precise measurement, since sometimes single free throws are awarded after a made basket. But it's close enough for our purposes.)
The stats are readily available on the school's athletic websites and you can do the math on a cocktail napkin.
The fractional number is our magic indicator of offensive success. So let's see if it works.
I didn't pick all 32 games. Too much work, and there are never that many great matchups in the first round. But I did check out a few that looked like they ought to be close and interesting.
Here we go:
Eighth-seeded Colorado has a razor-thin edge over Ninth-seeded Missouri. The Buffs average 0.91906 per possession, Mizzou pumps in 0.91890 per trip. If Missouri plays really good defense, and can limit Colorado's touches, it has a chance.
Fifth-seeded Oklahoma State (0.902220) should crush the 12th-seeded Oregon Ducks (0.86458), even though those 5-12 seed games are often really interesting. This would also be a pretty good football game.
Often sketchy North Carolina (0.898699), an 8-seed, should get by workmanlike Big East foe Villanova (0.84377358), seeded ninth. I'll be surprised if the winner doesn't get destroyed by Kansas in the next round, though.
Another 8-9 seed, ACC vs. Big East matchup features North Carolina State (0.9575), a solid favorite over Temple (0.91008). This game should be called "Gateway to Getting Clobbered By Indiana."
Need something to help you get through two weeks of March Madness? Try playing Basketball Cliche Bingo. Mark off the words or phrases that are overused during each game of the tourney.More >>
Don't like basketball? Need something to help you get through two weeks of March Madness? Try playing Basketball Cliche Bingo. Mark off the words or phrases that are overused during each game of the tournament.More >>