Hurricane Forecasts

An index developed by two meteorologists in 1985 says the East Coast above Florida has the highest risk of a hurricane making landfall this year. The index says there's a 64% chance that a storm will hit the eastern seaboard. This same group predicts the upcoming hurricane season will have fewer named storms than average, but just as many hurricanes—sort of more for less.

The Weather Research Center is calling for only eight tropical storms, but says six of those will grow into hurricanes. To begin with, I'm just not sure I want to know that right now. I mean, we're still two months before the start of hurricane season! And, that "East Coast above Florida " is so vague. From Jacksonville, Florida to the northern tip of Maine 's coast is well over twelve hundred miles—and that's as the crow flies. That's not much specificity for a storm that may be only about fifty miles wide. But, I expect too much.

I very much appreciate the job all the weather scientists—including our own meteorologists here at WECT—do in keeping track of, and giving us warning of, impending storms. We're told that this year we'll get a couple of extra days "heads up" when a hurricane appears to be bearing down on us. But, I just don't want to start worrying about it right after the first day of Spring.