An index developed by two meteorologists in 1985 says the East Coast above Florida has the highest risk of a hurricane making landfall this year. The index says there's a 64% chance that a storm will hit the eastern seaboard. This same group predicts the upcoming hurricane season will have fewer named storms than average, but just as many hurricanes—sort of more for less.
The Weather Research Center is calling for only eight tropical storms, but says six of those will grow into hurricanes. To begin with, I'm just not sure I want to know that right now. I mean, we're still two months before the start of hurricane season! And, that "East Coast above Florida " is so vague. From Jacksonville, Florida to the northern tip of Maine 's coast is well over twelve hundred miles—and that's as the crow flies. That's not much specificity for a storm that may be only about fifty miles wide. But, I expect too much.